The worldwide markets for Consumer Electronics, Audio/Video, Photo, IT and Telecommunications are continuing to expand in spite of the crisis. In 2009, consumers will spend 2% more on products in the audio/video, photography, IT and telecommunications segments, with total global expenditure for the year as a whole forecast at EUR 494 billion (USD 706 billion). These are the findings of a continuous survey carried out by GfK Retail and Technology in more than 80 countries.
With sales growth of 8%, Japan is currently the region with the most rapid expansion, followed by Africa with growth of 6% and China with 5%. A decline of 3% in North America and 5% in Europe is expected.
Chart 1 Europe: CE Turnover By Countries
Chart 2 Europe: CE Assortment Development
Let the back-to-school 2009 season begin! After a tough first half of the year, this is an anxiously awaited month to test the resilience of the demand for IT products. With revenue decrease for EMEA of around 7% for consumer products, but with some sales exceeding expectations in unit terms, the beginning of 2009 has thus far drawn heavily on the reserves of the channels and manufacturers. So far, forecasting where the markets would actually go this year has proven an impossible task. [...]Emerging from the dark days that summarised the second half of 2008 and its raft of bad news, the first half of 2009 is a tale of two separate periods. The first quarter saw a slow decline in consumer demand until the middle of March on the whole, followed by a slow recovery until the end of June, continuing into the summer...
In spite of the difficult economic environment, high value products have proved popular with consumers in the home and although widespread growth is scarce, the demand for many premium products has assisted in keeping sales buoyant.
Most Western European markets show negative trends after the first half of 2009. As an outcome of the overall economic crisis, the UK and Spain are most heavily affected, followed by Greece and Denmark. The only two markets to maintain a positive development are Germany and Austria. [...]
In the first half of 2009, Small Domestic Appliances there has been a stark contrast in fortune between Western and Eastern Europe. Several key countries in Western Europe have experienced positive growth in value terms including Austria (+7.5%), Switzerland (+6.3%) and Germany (+6.2%). In Eastern Europe the story is different with double-digit declines prevailing. Only Poland recorded positive growth, up 1.8% in value terms...
The world-wide imaging markets are currently faced with a variety of challenges. The US market is suffering heavily from the economic situation, with retailers dropping out of the market, and prices in freefall. This has had implications for the rest of the world, Latin America and Europe in particular.Digital camera sales in Europe have declined in the first half of 2009 by 6 percent and 16 percent in terms of volume and value respectively. Western Europe has remained relatively stable whereas the East has been severely impacted, with significant declines in Russia, the Ukraine and the Baltic region in particular...
The mobile communications sector is demonstrating negative growth on a worldwide basis. Very few regions are currently experiencing positive sales developments. In the first half of 2009, only India (+1%) and Southeast Asia (+9%) are showing an increase in sales within the mobile and smart phones markets. Sales in the Middle East and Northern Africa (+/- 0%), Sub Sahara (-1%) and China, Taiwan and Hong Kong (-9%) either remain unchanged or are in decline. The European market decreased by 13%...
Juergen Boyny
Consumer Electronics
+49 911 395 2520
E-mail global CE team
Pascal Bollon
IT/ Office
+44 870 603 8274
E-mail global IT/ Office team
Friedemann Stoeckle
Major Domestic Appliances
+49 911 395 2297
E-mail global MDA team
Herwig Rubin
Small Domestic Appliances
+49 911 395 3188
E-mail global SDA team
Marion Knoche
Imaging Photo
+49 911 395 2294
E-mail global Photo
Albert Raab
Telecommunication
+49 911 395 2684
E-mail global Telecom team